• 2007 was an unusual year and one in which playing the odds as they looked at the start and middle of the growing season did not pay off.
• When making decisions based on probability, be aware of the likelihood and consequences of downside risk.
• Our climate is changing; climate science is moving away from forecast systems that rely on the past to predict the future and investing its efforts in improving general circulation models.
• Yield Prophet in 2008 will be capable of simulating paddock-specific yields under climate change scenarios for 2030.

• APSIM simulations, accessed through the Yield Prophet web interface, were evaluated for their ability to forecast nitrogen fertiliser responses at the canopy management trial in the Wimmera.
• Yield Prophet accurately simulated crop yield and protein for a range of nitrogen fertiliser application rates and timings.
• Yield Prophet was able to estimate likely nitrogen fertiliser responses and dollar returns during the season.
• For accurate simulations Yield Prophet requires good soil characterisation data (crop lower limit, drained upper limit and bulk density) and pre-sowing measurements of soil water and available nitrogen.

The model was very accurate at the actual soil site location. Inaccuracies can be due to a number of reasons - namely weed burden at the site, frost, variations of soil type across the paddock and variations of rainfall received in the paddock versus the recording location. Furthermore, if the soil classification is slightly different in the model than is actually the soil physical properties, this could cause deviation as well. Lastly, as crop phenology can vary from cultivar to cultivar, this can cause discrepancy too.

Yield Prophet® saved many subscribers from over investing in inputs during the 2006 season. From early in the 2006 growing season, Yield Prophet® predicted that profitable yields in our region were unlikely.

The value of Yield Prophet® as a risk management tool is often overlooked because of a common perception that Yield Prophet® is only a nitrogen management tool to be used in good seasons. An analysis of Yield Prophet® predictions made throughout 2006 busts this myth.

• Average simulated wheat yields of the current ten year period are the worst on record since 1899 at the Birchip site.
• A comparison of the impacts of climate change in the past 30 years compared with earlier years provides no evidence of an effect on the wheat yields at this site.
• Given the ‘worst case’scenario itisforecastthat climate change will cause an increase in temperature and reduction in rainfall in the year 2030 reducing potential crop yields at this site.

• In the last simulation on 25th September, it was predicted there was a 50% chance of reaping at least 1.5t/ha of wheat at Hart, the actual wheat grain yield was 1.4t/ha.
• At no point during the 2008 growing season did the yield prophet simulation predict final wheat yields to be greater than 3.5t/ha, even at the highest level of risk (20%).

The actual wheat grain yield at Hart in 2009 was 2.46 t/ha, well under the final Yield Prophet prediction of 3.7 t/ha.

The actual wheat grain yield at Hart in 2010 was 2.46 t/ha, well under the final Yield Prophet prediction of 3.70 t/ha.

• Yield prophet accurately predicted the final grain yield of 3.0t/ha.
• Predictions made in mid-August using an average finish to the season have been 80% accurate.

• Yield prophet accurately predicted a final grain yield near 2.2t/ha.
• Predictions made in mid-August using an average finish to the season have been 80% accurate.

Yield prophet accurately predicted a final grain yield of Mace wheat near 4.7 t/ha.

• Yield prophet closely predicted a final grain yield of Mace at 5.5 t/ha in the Hart area.
• Good season rainfall meant the difference between 20% and 80% of years started at 0.8 t/ha in late June and was only 0.1 t/ha by mid-October.

• Yield prophet closely predicted a final grain yield of 4.2 t/ha for Mace wheat at Hart.
• The lack of in-season rainfall in June and July meant the difference between 20% and 80% of years was only 1.5 – 2 t/ha during this time.

• Yield prophet closely predicted wheat grain yields in the Hart district.
• Heavy rainfall in September meant the difference between 20% and 80% of years was only 0.2t/ha towards the end of the season.

• Yield prophet under predicted the final grain yield of Mace (3.9 t/ha) at Hart in 2017.
• Lack of rainfall during the season meant the difference between 20% and 80% of years was only 0.5 t/ha towards the end of the season.

Subsurface soil compaction has been shown to be a major constraint to crop production and the removal of
this compaction via deep ripping can lead to large yield increases.

Subsurface soil compaction has been shown to be a major constraint to crop production and the removal of
this compaction via deep ripping can lead to large yield increases.

• The quicker maturing varieties LRPB DartA, HatchetA LivingstonA, MaceA, SceptreA, MitchA and SuntopA were generally lower yielding than other entries at SD1, but were more yield competitive with other entries at SD2 and SD3.
• The longer season varieties EGA WedgetailA (6.08 t/ha) and EGA EaglehawkA (5.88 t/ha) were the highest yielding varieties at SD1, followed by CutlassA (5.51 t/ha) and LRPB FlankerA (5.36 t/ha).
• The mean yield at SD1 (4.89 t/ha) was not significantly different from SD2 (4.63 t/ha), but SD3 (3.56 t/ha) was significantly lower yielding than either SD1 or SD2.
• All varieties yielded their lowest from SD3.
• Protein percentages were low to moderate (mean of 9.8% for SD2 and 10.3% for SD1) with no significant difference from SD for any of the entries

• Trojan apparently responded better to 3 Nitrogen applications at GS 31, 33 & 37.
• Revenue yielded most will nil extra Nitrogen, but not significantly better than with 100kg applied urea.
• Higher Nitrogen late increased grain protein across all varieties as expected • Revenue expressed reduced yields at Urea application rates higher than 200kg/Ha.

The Plant Growth Regulator trinexapac-ethyl (Moddus Evo) has been shown in previous trials to increase yield in irrigated barley, but not necessarliy due to reduced lodging. This trial appears to indicate that the PGR resulted  increased tiller survival in lower plant populations of certain varieties. 

Some varities have shown no yield response to PGR application.

Selection of a variety that is not prone to lodging may be a better choice than applying a PGR.

 

• Removing soil compaction increased barley yield by between 710kg/ha and 1,130kg/ha in 2016.
• Very deep ripping (1200mm) gave the greatest yield increases at this site though there are factors that may inhibit the ability to rip this deep on a large scale.

Registered Yitpi seed came in two sizes in the 2000 season (small - 36g/1000 grain and large - 43g/1000 grain). The general concern for those who purchased Yitpi with small seed was that it was of poor quality. A demonstration investigating emergence and crop yield showed that there was no difference between the small and large sized grain in emergence and crop yield. The harvested grain from the small and large sown seed was the same size (40g/1000 grain).
It is advisable to know grain size and emergence potential so that optimum sowing rates can be determined.

• Statistical analysis was not possible on the trial, but the wheat following spray fallow treatment was by far the most profitable over the two years as well as the least risky.
• If this trial were to be repeated results will vary given different seasons and different soil types.

• The spraytopped treatment and the fallow treatment both yielded significantly better than wheat on wheat in 2010.
• Weed burden was high in the wheat on wheat in the second year while the spraytopped treatment was slightly cleaner followed by the fallow which was virtually weed free.

• There have been findings that Wyalkatchem is generally more frost prone than other varieties.
• If you are cropping a high frost risk area, good management would suggest minimising input costs (e.g. fertiliser) in these areas.
• Due to the large LSD there were no statistically different treatments. However there seems to be a trend that the lower seeding rate improved yield.
• There was no significant yield difference between retaining stubble and burning the stubble at both seeding rates.

• Coefficient of variation was unacceptably high therefore results will not be presented.

• All treatments were safe to the crop except for Sakura 118 g/ha + Sencor 150 g/ha which resulted in biomass reduction at all assessments.
• This was in part due to a couple of rows being sown into the inter row that contained herbicide which re-sulted in the death of some plants.
• This mixture would not be recommended on conventional wheat. An overall crop bio-mass rating was taken 106 DAA rated Sakura 118 g/ha as 100% with the other treatments benchmarked against it.
• The crop was water stressed at this time. Inspection of the crop heads found they were not filling to potential with small grain and empty husks common across the trial.

• There were no significant visual vigour or establishment differences between retained or pedigree ATR Cobbler. However, in previous seasons this has been observed in the paddock with some growers, as well as at other trial sites this year from the same seed that was used in this trial. This may be due to the unknown vigour of the seed under different broad-acre paddock situations.
• CB Eclipse RR showed good vigour and growth initially from emergence until late flowering. From this stage, CB Eclipse RR finished flowering quite rapidly in comparison to the Hyola 404RR and 505RR, both which continued to flower strongly tak-ing advantage of the seasonal conditions. This correlates to past experiences with Hyola 404RR being an adaptable variety that will flower earlier or later depending on current seasonal conditions.
• There was a distinct increase in plant vigour and biomass with the RR Hybrids compared to the RR open pollinated varieties, which is commonly observed in many trials across Australia. This improvement in vigour (along with adequate plant popula-tions) has a significant impact on the level of crop competition achieved which is critical for adequate weed control in the RR system. The vigour advantage in the Hybrid TT varieties was not apparent until late vegetative through to early flowering.

• There were no significant visual vigour or establishment differences between retained or pedigree ATR Cobbler. However, in previous seasons this has been observed in the paddock with some growers, as well as at other trial sites this year from the same seed that was used in this trial. This may be due to the unknown vigour of the seed under different broad-acre paddock situations.
• CB Eclipse RR showed good vigour and growth initially from emergence until late flowering. From this stage, CB Eclipse RR finished flowering quite rapidly in comparison to the Hyola 404RR and 505RR, both which continued to flower strongly tak-ing advantage of the seasonal conditions. This correlates to past experiences with Hyola 404RR being an adaptable variety that will flower earlier or later depending on current seasonal conditions.
• There was a distinct increase in plant vigour and biomass with the RR Hybrids compared to the RR open pollinated varieties, which is commonly observed in many trials across Australia. This improvement in vigour (along with adequate plant popula-tions) has a significant impact on the level of crop competition achieved which is critical for adequate weed control in the RR system. The vigour advantage in the Hybrid TT varieties was not apparent until late vegetative through to early flowering.

• There were no significant visual vigour or establishment differences between retained or pedigree ATR Cobbler. However, in previous seasons this has been observed in the paddock with some growers, as well as at other trial sites this year from the same seed that was used in this trial. This may be due to the unknown vigour of the seed under different broad-acre paddock situations.
• CB Eclipse RR showed good vigour and growth initially from emergence until late flowering. From this stage, CB Eclipse RR finished flowering quite rapidly in comparison to the Hyola 404RR and 505RR, both which continued to flower strongly tak-ing advantage of the seasonal conditions. This correlates to past experiences with Hyola 404RR being an adaptable variety that will flower earlier or later depending on current seasonal conditions.
• There was a distinct increase in plant vigour and biomass with the RR Hybrids compared to the RR open pollinated varieties, which is commonly observed in many trials across Australia. This improvement in vigour (along with adequate plant popula-tions) has a significant impact on the level of crop competition achieved which is critical for adequate weed control in the RR system. The vigour advantage in the Hybrid TT varieties was not apparent until late vegetative through to early flowering.

• Repellence can be worse below 5cm (5-10cm samples collected but not tested yet).
• If repellence is worse at 5-10cm this may explain why deep ripping has increased repellence as ripping could bring some of this more water repellent soil to the surface.

• All treatments applied in this trial were safe to the crop with any early crop effects recovering quickly.
• At 44DAA all Velocity treatments applied alone or in tank mixtures recorded excellent control (≥94 rating) of wild radish in this trial. All Velocity treatments including tank mixtures provided superior control to Precept 300 at 750 mL/ha (88), Jagu-ar 1 L/ha (86) and Paragon 500 mL/ha applied with (88) or without (81) Bromicide 200 500 mL/ha.
• All Velocity and Precept 300 treatments achieved commercially acceptable control (≥97 rating) of volunteer lupins in this trial.

The Carlshausen’s had previously grown Calingiri noodle wheat but abandoned the variety in 2015 due to bad lodging in the 2014 season and consistent 0.1 t/ha lower yields than Mace. In 2015 they wanted to see if the new noodle variety Zen was able to match Mace (the only wheat currently grown on their property) in terms of yield and quality. Mace is a short to mid maturity Australian hard wheat with Wyalkatchem major parent and Stylet minor parent. Zen is a mid to long maturity Australian noodle wheat bred from Calingiri and Wyalkatchem.

Mace and Zen were compared in two locations of the same paddock. The soil type was similar at the two locations, but varied in their elevation.

This demonstration was conducted using farmer equipment. Farm scale demonstrations are a valuable way to explore new varieties, products, or practices, complimenting results which are produced through more scientifically rigorous, small plot trials. Please refer to NVT for a replicated view of the varieties in your area.

• Snapshot of some aspects of a large project on diagnosis of the deficiency, yield responses to zinc, residual value of zinc, protein increases and improvement of quality, and genotypic effects in relation to zinc.
• Zinc (as zinc sulphate hepta hydrate) was applied at rates up to 40 kg/ha. Nitrogen was applied at 30 kg/ha. Wheat cv. Hartog was sown at 30 kg/ha. In some experiments Cu was applied at 5kg/ha.
• Yield and protein in the grain increased with application of zinc.
• Zinc deficiency symptoms seen in crops without Zn applied throughout tillering and leaf samples confirmed the deficiency.
• The reduction in yield was largely due to plant mortality and fewer productive tillers per plant.
• Bread making quality as measured by a mixograph showed that the dough strength of zinc deficient grain was very poor.
• However, the dough itself mixed very quickly.
• Residual value of the initial application of zinc is at least 2 years: yield responses have occurred in successive seasons.
• In yield response experiments, responses to zinc have been recorded up 10 kg/ha; at 40 kg/ha, toxicity has been recorded at early tillering but the crop has recovered totally by maturity.

• The application of zinc had no effect on yield or grain protein.
• Zinc coated products are effective in supplying zinc.

• There was no significant difference between treatments, water use efficiency is very high indicating we do need to consider Jan to April rainwall as well.
• There as a trend for yields to increase with increasing rate of P applied.
• For further conclusions please see the attached trial report.

There were no differences in yield obtained between the control (no zinc applied) crop and the four differenct zinc treatments.

In previous years, trials and demonstrations have highlighted zinc deficiencies in both cereals and pulses, which could provide farmers substantial profits over the cost of zinc. Six trial sites were chosen, all with adequate zinc histories, to demonstrate advantages of supplying extra zinc to wheat crops. As there were no significant yield responses to the various applications of zinc, it was concluded if adequate zinc enriched granular fertiliser had been regularly applied in previous years there was no benefit from the application of additional zinc.

Zinc seed dressings and/or zinc foliar sprays did not benefit treated crops in the 2009 season.

• There are identifiable production zones in Paddock N1. 
• Production zones are useful for designing sowing input strategies for ‘typical’ yields.
• In wet years, zones still indicate the risk and size of a return to in-season inputs but there will be increased input demand (e.g. N) and the response probably won’t follow the exact pattern of response for an average year.

There are no significant differences in yields between the control (no Zorro seed treatment) applications and the plots grown with Zorro seed treatment.