To discuss how did DAWA seasonal forecasts go in 2003?
Key messages
Over the last two years the Department of Agriculture WA, has been developing an analogue forecasting system for southern Australia. All through 2002 we issued analogue years (similar years in the past) that were typically El Nino years and/or droughts. In 2003, we were confident that the El Nino would decay. This paper discusses the forecasts that were issued and how they related to what happened at Birchip in 2003.
Trial source data and summary not available Check the trial
report PDF for trial results.
Climate
Derived climate information
No observed climate data available for this trial. Derived climate data is
determined from trial site location and national weather sources.
Birchip VIC
CAUTION: Trial site locality unknown; Climate data sourced from Birchip Cropping Group office location
SILO weather estimates sourced from https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/silo/
Jeffrey, S.J., Carter, J.O., Moodie, K.B. and Beswick, A.R. (2001). Using spatial interpolation to
construct a comprehensive archive of Australian climate data , Environmental Modelling and Software, Vol
16/4, pp 309-330. DOI: 10.1016/S1364-8152(01)00008-1.